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thursday night football predictions
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thursday night football predictions

Our staff breaks down how they’re betting this Thursday Night Football spread. Here are their picks.Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Emmanuel Sanders.Sharp bettors have been hitting the over/under since it opened. Here’s how they’re moving it.Cash game strategy. Core GPP plays. Stacks. Chris Raybon breaks down how to play the single-game slate.The 49ers have pounded the ball down the throat of every opponent they’ve faced this season. They’re averaging 181.1 rushing yards per game, second only to Baltimore. They eviscerated the Carolina run defense last week, totaling 232 rushing yards and 6.1 yards per carry while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
San Francisco (7-0) is one of two undefeated teams left and is a perfect 4-0 on the road heading into Arizona to face a Cardinals defense that ranks 26th in Football Outsiders’ run defense DVOA.Our analysts and experts break down the most important angles of this game.There are two historical betting trends supporting one of these two teams. PJ Walsh explains which one.Evan Silva of Establish The Run helps fantasy players and bettors alike understand the game at the deepest level. Read his breakdown for tonight.


The NFL season is entering Week 9 and that means it’s time for another showdown on Thursday night football. The undefeated San Francisco 49ers are coming off a 51-13 blowout victory over the Carolina Panthers to head to the desert to take on the 3-4-1 Arizona Cardinals. This is a matchup that clearly favors the 49ers; hence the 9.5-point favorite. If we recall the last time we saw the Kyle Shanahan led offense face a Vance Joseph defense was in Week 14 of the 2018 season. Nick Mullens threw for 332 passing yards and Jeff Wilson rushed for 90 yards in the 20-14 49ers’ victory over the Denver Broncos. George Kittle had a whopping 210 receiving yards. But that is not all the history worth mentioning. Remember that two of the three total wins for the Cardinals last season came versus the 49ers. Talk about how things can change so quickly in just under one season.As for the Cardinals, they have not featured the tight end much this season until last week. Charles Clay was second in the league in air yards at tight end (68) last week to go along with 88 receiving yards. However, he ran just 10 routes and played in just 40.8% of snaps. He is most likely fool’s gold. San Francisco gives up the fewest fantasy points to the tight end position.The Cardinals’ defense funnels more to the passing game as they have allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to the RB position. However, they did get completely ripped up by Latavius Murray a week ago, and there is no reason to believe they can stop the 49ers rushing attack that is averaging 181.1 rushing yards per game. The Cardinals are allowing 4.7 yards per attempt this season. At home specifically, they have allowed an average of 126.8 rushing yards per game and 4.4 yards per carry. Tevin Coleman is a lock, and whoever the second running back for the 49ers is also in play. Right now it looks like Raheem Mostert has the best chance to play, but if Matt Breida is active coming off an injury you know the drill. Start him!The 49ers D/ST is a great play this week. They will most likely force a pass-happy approach from the Cardinals that could create a lot of opportunities for turnovers. One thing to note is that Cardinals rank number one in the least amount of giveaways per game (.5), but rank second to last in sacks allowed per game at home per game (4.2). The 49ers defense is forcing 2.3 takeaways per game and 3.9 sacks per game. For a DFS perspective, I do think that the Arizona D/ST is extremely intriguing at projected lower ownership. The Cardinals have a pretty good pass rush as they are averaging 2.8 sacks per game. The 49ers are still missing their two starting tackles in Joe Staley and Mike McGlinchey so there’s a chance that Chandler Jones and company can get after the quarterback.
The 49ers’ receiver room is extremely difficult to sort out. The Emmanuel Sanders trade has entrenched him as the number one receiver and that showed up on Sunday in Week 8. Sanders ran the most routes (26) and led all receivers not named George Kittle in targets (five). 50% of his snaps came from out of the slot in Week 8 so Sanders likely won’t draw a ton of coverage from Patrick Peterson. If it’s any consolation anyway I am not sure Peterson is a cornerback that we should be avoiding in fantasy football. According to Pro Football Focus in coverage in Week 8 Peterson allowed five receptions for 47 yards and one receiving touchdown.As for the Cardinals, they will most likely be without both David Johnson and Chase Edmonds. That will thurst newly acquired Kenyan Drake into the pass-catching a role with Zach Zenner getting mixed in as the main runner. The Cardinals rank 21st in rushing attempts per game, so it just seems like they are just going to throw the ball a lot Thursday night so Drake is the preferred option.Let’s take a closer look at Week 9’s Thursday Night’s Game.
I’ve mentioned yards after the catch as one of the glaring weaknesses of the Arizona Cardinals defense. The other main weakness is defending the tight end, and that will not stop on Thursday night. As I mentioned before the last time George Kittle faced a Vance Joseph defense he went for over 200 receiving yards. Now factor in that the Cardinals allow the most fantasy points to the tight end position I think he is a lock to finish at the number one tight end overall on the week. Of all receivers and tight ends this season Kittle ranks fifth overall in yards after the catch (253). He has totaled 432 receiving yards but has just one touchdown which is very likely to positively regress. He has also had a large number of touchdowns scored that have been negated by penalties this season.A sleeper wide receiver on the 49ers for Week 9 is Deebo Samuel. The 49ers continue to script plays to get him the ball and that is because he is making plays in the open field. Of players with at least 23 targets, Samuel has the fourth-highest average of yards after the catch per reception (8.1). The Cardinals defense is not a great tackling unit; they allowed Michael Thomas to collect 81 yards after the catch and Latavius Murray to collect 65 yards after the catch just last week. Samuel is someone to target in single-game DFS contests.

Week 11 Nov. 15, 8:20 PM, Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (FOX/NFL Network)Week 9 Nov. 1, 8:20 PM, Oakland Raiders at San Francisco 49ers (FOX/NFL Network)New Orleans 31, Atlanta 17.Final Score: Patriots 38, Colts 24.Week 10 Nov. 8, 8:20 PM, Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (FOX/NFL Network)
Week 6 Oct. 11, 8:20 PM, Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (FOX/NFL Network)The Dallas Cowboys are 6-5-0 against the spread.Posted by Tom | Nov 27, 2018 | NFL | 0 |Week 2 Sept. 13, 8:20 PM, Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (NFL Network)
RB Ezekiel Elliott Hip is probable Thursday vs New Orleans DL David Irving Ankle is questionable Thursday vs New Orleans WR Tavon Austin Groin is questionable Thursday vs New Orleans T Tyron Smith Stinger is questionable Thursday vs New Orleans TE Geoff Swaim Wrist is OUT 3-4 weeks LB Sean Lee Hamstring is out indefinitely WR Terrance Williams Personal IR C Travis Frederick Illness IR DE Datone Jones Knee IR G Parker Ehinger Knee IR WR Cedrick Wilson Shoulder IR S Jameill Showers Knee IR G Marcus Martin Toe IR WR Noah Brown Hamstring IR.Cowboys Injuries.Kickoff for Thursday Night football is set for 8:20 PM at AT&T Stadium as the Dallas Cowboys host the New Orleans Saints. The line opened with the Saints as a -7 favorite and the over/under was set at 51.5.It is in Dallas but the Saints offense is too powerful for the Cowboys to stop on a regular basis. Take Saints -7.Week 8 Oct. 25, 8:20 PM, Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (FOX/NFL Network)



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